Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.048295 0.057325 0.067470 0.079696 0.094016 0.110244 0.130014
2025-04-20 0.034803 0.046493 0.061137 0.080764 0.106310 0.138360 0.181540
2025-04-27 0.026862 0.039372 0.056434 0.081260 0.116296 0.163780 0.232794
2025-05-04 0.021640 0.034278 0.052777 0.081588 0.125035 0.187745 0.284659
2025-05-11 0.018146 0.030757 0.050385 0.082803 0.134554 0.213369 0.341687
2025-05-18 0.015867 0.028568 0.049449 0.085773 0.146739 0.244053 0.409854
2025-05-25 0.013073 0.024934 0.045471 0.082998 0.149021 0.259149 0.454901
2025-06-01 0.011275 0.022674 0.043375 0.082932 0.155573 0.281658 0.514493
2025-06-08 0.009667 0.020450 0.040934 0.081777 0.159866 0.300569 0.569850
2025-06-15 0.008716 0.019316 0.040309 0.083822 0.170136 0.331025 0.649063
2025-06-22 0.007591 0.017615 0.038294 0.082822 0.174386 0.350794 0.710640
2025-06-29 0.006531 0.015852 0.035864 0.080584 0.175803 0.365200 0.763409
2025-07-06 0.005554 0.014113 0.033251 0.077655 0.175586 0.376734 0.812688
2025-07-13 0.005040 0.013364 0.032683 0.079082 0.184763 0.408285 0.906308
2025-07-20 0.004534 0.012535 0.031797 0.079649 0.192116 0.436864 0.996991
2025-07-27 0.004080 0.011747 0.030878 0.079987 0.198967 0.465093 1.090051
2025-08-03 0.003728 0.011162 0.030354 0.081183 0.207937 0.498927 1.199139
2025-08-10 0.003499 0.010869 0.030517 0.084098 0.221372 0.544257 1.339047
2025-08-17 0.003042 0.009835 0.028588 0.081375 0.220607 0.556761 1.404608
2025-08-24 0.002751 0.009235 0.027722 0.081310 0.226514 0.585628 1.511915
2025-08-31 0.002456 0.008558 0.026529 0.080176 0.229489 0.607704 1.605183
2025-09-07 0.002299 0.008291 0.026466 0.082184 0.241063 0.652286 1.758730
2025-09-14 0.002065 0.007721 0.025417 0.081203 0.244367 0.676310 1.863009